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UK Retail Briefing - September 2010

ANALYST COMMENT
 WHAT’S A BRAND NAME WORTH?
What does MFI stand for?
All the same old mistakes
HEADLINES OF THE MONTH
Food retailers
Clothing retailers
Mixed goods
Multi-sector
Department stores
Electricals
Furniture
Home shopping
Health and beauty
Books and stationery
Sports and leisure
Jewellers
RETAIL SALES – BACKGROUND AND OUTLOOK
Key points
Retail sales trends
Figure 1: Retail sales trends, 2009-10
BRC and ONS back into line
Figure 2: UK retail sales y/y growth, BRC vs ONS, 2009-10
John Lewis
Figure 3: John Lewis: Year-on-year growth, 2009-10
Inflation and wages
Figure 4: RPI vs Average weekly earnings growth, 2008-10
Inflation remains uncomfortably high
Figure 5: Annual percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for selected product groups, 2009-10
Looking forward
SECTOR FOCUS – FURNITURE, CARPETS AND DIY
Sector relatives
Figure 6: Furniture retailers relative to all retail sales, 1999-2010 H1
Figure 7: Carpets retailers relative to all retail sales, 1999-2010 H1
Figure 8: DIY retailers relative to all retail sales, 1999-2010 H1
Housing
Figure 9: Housing transactions, 2005-10 Q1
Figure 10: UK: House Prices, 2000-10 (Aug)
Sector data
Figure 11: Furniture retailers, sales trends, 2000-10
Carpets
Figure 12: Carpet retailers, sales trends, 2000-10
DIY
Figure 13: DIY retailers, sales trends, 2000-10
Retail price inflation
Figure 14: Indices of retail prices for product categories (household goods), Jan 2005-Aug 2010
Consumer expenditure
Figure 15: Consumer expenditure on selected product categories, 2005-09
 LEADING RETAILERS
Furniture retailers
Figure 16: Furniture retailers – Leading specialists, 2009/10
Carpets
Figure 17: Carpet retailers – Leading specialists, 2009/10
DIY
Figure 18: DIY retailers – Leading specialists, 2008/09
NEWS ANALYSIS
 BAKERS (RETAIL)
Thorntons reports profits fall
 CO-OPS (RETAIL)
Co-op H1 profits rise
 GROCERS
Asda
…chief lambasts its food offer
…lowers petrol prices
…reports LFLs drop
Morrisons enjoys profit boost
Ocado reports 29.5% sales rise
Sainsbury's
…and Nectar launch iPhone apps
…to roll out 'eco-friendly' milk bags
Spar sales boosted by improved range
Tesco
…announces bullish China plans
…launches triple Clubcard points scheme
…to open drive-thru supermarket
 CLOTHING RETAILING
Europe: TJX Europe suffers profit slump
Sweden: H&M LFLs up 10%
Adams launches new concessions
Alexon
…appoints commercial director
…looks for web growth
Evans targets plus-size teens
Fossil enjoys strong results
M&Co doubles profits
Republic launches ad campaign
Sixty UK files for liquidation
USC uses website to sell overseas
Zara launches transactional website
 MIXED GOODS RETAILING
B&M Bargains buys Opus Homewares for £48 million
Home Retail profits hit by Argos performance
Poundland profits soar
 MULTI-SECTOR RETAILING
HMV sales dented by World Cup
M&S
…starts student initiative
…to close Midlands stores
…confirms Swannell as chairman
 DEPARTMENT STORES
Debenhams launches unexpected sale
Fenwick sales and profits down
House of Fraser launches overseas delivery
John Lewis opens second At Home outlet
Littlewoods launches TV campaign
 ELECTRICAL RETAILING
Dixons Retail sales boosted by World Cup
 FURNITURE RETAILING
Dwell secures £5 million funding
MFI relaunched
 HOME SHOPPING
Bond takes stake in Wiggle
Confetti in administration
Ebay plots major fashion push
Findel
…mulls Express Gifts sale
…sells CWIO division
Flying Brands
…acquires online gardening business
…profit down
Moonpig profits almost double
N Brown launches Simply Be in US
 HEALTH AND BEAUTY RETAILING
Body Shop enjoys improved results
 BOOKS AND STATIONERY RETAILING
Waterstone's
…founder ponders buy-back bid
…to open food outlets in stores
WH Smith buys Gadget Shop
 SPORTS AND LEISURE GOODS RETAILING
JJB shareholder ups stake
Snow+Rock buys Runners Need
Sports Direct enjoys sales boost
 JEWELLERS
Signet reports improved Q2 performance
 ECONOMY
BRC: Retail sales improve in August
CBI: Retail sales up in August
Online sales up in July, says IMRG
ONS: Retail sales improve in July
Retail sales in Scotland decrease in July

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